Payne College Football Power Ratings

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Winner: 2009 NCAA PT Awards: Best in Class

Runner Up: 2010 NCAA PT Awards: Best Retrodictive

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Preseason  · Week 1  · Week 2  · Week 3  · Week 4

Week 4 - Through games played 9/24/2016
Home Field Advantage5.08 Predictions
Current StandingsNext Week Final Record
 TeamOverallPredict W / L OpponentOutcomeByPWin WLProb Undef
1 OHIO STATE43.19 62.9733.30 RUTGERS Win 33.13 98.2% 10.60 1.40 19.5%
2 LOUISVILLE42.01 65.3330.34 CLEMSON Loss 1.79 45.5% 10.56 1.44 14.1%
3 ALABAMA40.26 55.6332.57 KENTUCKY Win 28.60 96.6% 10.47 1.53 15.0%
4 HOUSTON39.44 53.6332.34 CONNECTICUT Win 31.17 97.6% 10.54 1.46 16.5%
5 CLEMSON38.71 49.9233.11 LOUISVILLE Win 1.79 54.5% 10.37 1.63 12.8%
6 MICHIGAN38.16 52.5930.95 WISCONSIN Win 7.81 69.0% 10.12 1.88 7.2%
7 TEXAS A&M36.82 51.2229.63 SO CAROLINA Win 14.33 81.9% 10.18 1.82 8.2%
8 TENNESSEE35.93 44.2231.78 GEORGIA Win 3.87 59.7% 9.82 2.18 5.3%
9 WISCONSIN35.43 45.0430.63 MICHIGAN Loss 7.81 31.0% 9.70 2.30 4.2%
10 STANFORD34.61 47.1528.34 WASHINGTON Loss 0.98 47.5% 9.99 2.01 8.4%
11 MIAMI-FLORIDA33.56 53.2223.73 GEORGIA TECH Win 3.94 59.9% 9.64 2.36 5.5%
12 FLORIDA STATE33.15 44.8627.30 NORTH CAROLINA Win 13.05 79.7% 8.53 3.47  
13 WESTERN MICH32.52 42.5327.52 CENTRAL MICH Win 6.24 65.4% 10.61 1.39 19.7%
14 BAYLOR32.05 40.9727.60 IOWA STATE Win 21.92 91.8% 9.61 2.39 4.4%
15 MEMPHIS31.29 45.7924.04 OLE MISS Loss 2.26 44.3% 8.91 3.09 1.7%
16 NEBRASKA31.17 42.2825.61 ILLINOIS Win 21.34 91.3% 9.06 2.94 0.8%
17 WASHINGTON30.51 41.0825.22 STANFORD Win 0.98 52.5% 9.32 2.68 3.2%
18 BOISE STATE30.40 38.9526.13 UTAH STATE Win 21.83 91.8% 10.61 1.39 19.3%
19 OKLAHOMA29.19 46.3820.60 TCU Win 0.67 51.7% 6.99 5.01  
20 COLORADO29.00 44.2221.39 OREGON STATE Win 19.59 89.4% 8.31 3.69  
21 VIRGINIA TECH28.95 43.3721.74         8.22 3.78  
22 OLE MISS28.46 41.4621.97 MEMPHIS Win 2.26 55.7% 6.50 5.50  
23 WEST VIRGINIA28.30 35.2524.83 KANSAS STATE Win 7.70 68.8% 8.94 3.06 1.9%
24 TOLEDO28.27 38.6923.06 BYU Win 3.82 59.6% 9.50 2.50 3.2%
25 TROY28.10 42.1221.09 IDAHO Win 15.69 84.1% 9.41 2.59  
26 WAKE FOREST27.14 27.8926.77 NC STATE Win 0.97 52.5% 8.62 3.38 0.2%
27 NAVY27.11 28.7526.30 AIR FORCE Loss 3.28 41.7% 8.13 3.87 0.5%
28 FLORIDA27.10 37.5521.87 VANDERBILT Win 3.19 58.0% 7.87 4.13  
29 GEORGIA26.98 28.6726.14 TENNESSEE Loss 3.87 40.3% 8.20 3.80  
30 ARIZONA STATE26.76 32.0324.13 USC Win 0.29 50.7% 8.30 3.70 0.4%
31 UTAH26.29 27.9825.45 CALIFORNIA Win 0.31 50.8% 8.25 3.75 0.4%
32 ARKANSAS26.26 33.4722.66 ALCORN STATE Win 35.56 98.8% 7.45 4.55  
33 MISSOURI25.91 46.4315.65 LSU Loss 3.98 40.0% 6.47 5.53  
34 UCLA25.78 37.7819.78 ARIZONA Win 13.33 80.2% 6.75 5.25  
35 SAN DIEGO ST25.75 28.0624.60 SOUTH ALABAMA Win 7.76 68.9% 10.20 1.80 12.5%
36 KANSAS STATE25.68 43.4116.81 WEST VIRGINIA Loss 7.70 31.2% 7.12 4.88  
37 MARYLAND25.44 33.8921.22 PURDUE Win 16.01 84.6% 7.61 4.39 <0.1%
38 AIR FORCE25.31 29.6823.13 NAVY Win 3.28 58.3% 9.49 2.51 4.3%
39 SO FLORIDA25.29 35.1520.36 CINCINNATI Loss 1.39 46.5% 7.99 4.01  
40 SOUTHERN MISS25.23 36.1519.77 RICE Win 27.69 96.1% 9.13 2.87  
41 NORTH CAROLINA25.18 31.2522.15 FLORIDA STATE Loss 13.05 20.3% 7.60 4.40  
42 MINNESOTA24.88 26.7423.95 PENN STATE Win 0.97 52.5% 8.15 3.85 0.2%
43 LSU24.81 34.7119.86 MISSOURI Win 3.98 60.0% 5.66 6.34  
44 AUBURN24.72 37.8818.14 ULM Win 18.73 88.3% 6.42 5.58  
45 GEORGIA TECH24.54 32.0720.78 MIAMI-FLORIDA Loss 3.94 40.1% 7.16 4.84  
46 GA SOUTHERN24.50 31.1121.20         8.14 3.86  
47 APPALACHIAN ST23.94 32.8719.47 GEORGIA STATE Win 19.32 89.0% 7.69 4.31  
48 OREGON23.75 35.1118.07 WASHINGTON ST Win 2.57 56.5% 5.73 6.27  
49 TEXAS TECH23.59 35.9517.41 KANSAS Win 17.62 86.9% 6.88 5.12  
50 TCU23.44 30.4419.94 OKLAHOMA Loss 0.67 48.3% 6.91 5.09  
51 MICHIGAN STATE23.34 28.1720.93 INDIANA Loss 2.69 43.2% 6.59 5.41  
52 TULSA22.88 28.7319.95         7.04 4.96  
53 OKLAHOMA STATE22.81 35.9316.25 TEXAS Win 7.73 68.8% 6.27 5.73  
54 CINCINNATI21.59 23.6820.55 SO FLORIDA Win 1.39 53.5% 7.20 4.80  
55 USC21.40 32.0516.07 ARIZONA STATE Loss 0.29 49.3% 4.76 7.24  
56 CENTRAL MICH21.20 30.9816.31 WESTERN MICH Loss 6.24 34.6% 8.03 3.97  
57 NC STATE21.08 32.9115.17 WAKE FOREST Loss 0.97 47.5% 5.44 6.56  
58 INDIANA20.95 24.1919.33 MICHIGAN STATE Win 2.69 56.8% 6.06 5.94  
59 CALIFORNIA20.90 29.0416.83 UTAH Loss 0.31 49.2% 5.62 6.38  
60 MIDDLE TENNESSEE20.34 25.6617.69 NORTH TEXAS Win 6.13 65.2% 8.30 3.70  
61 TEXAS20.16 28.7515.87 OKLAHOMA STATE Loss 7.73 31.2% 5.94 6.06  
62 MISS STATE19.61 27.6815.57         5.21 6.79  
63 ARMY19.53 28.6414.97         7.72 4.28  
64 BYU19.37 30.5613.78 TOLEDO Loss 3.82 40.4% 5.36 6.64  
65 IOWA19.20 26.5515.53 NORTHWESTERN Win 9.52 72.8% 6.09 5.91  
66 PITTSBURGH19.15 27.8514.79 MARSHALL Win 6.87 66.9% 5.67 6.33  
67 VANDERBILT18.83 24.3616.06 FLORIDA Loss 3.19 42.0% 5.08 6.92  
68 PENN STATE18.82 25.0915.69 MINNESOTA Loss 0.97 47.5% 5.45 6.55  
69 AKRON18.82 26.6014.93 KENT STATE Win 10.01 73.8% 6.77 5.23  
70 WESTERN KY18.68 26.4014.81 HOUSTON BAPTIST Win 27.98 96.2% 7.35 4.65  
71 EASTERN MICH18.41 24.6815.27 BOWLING GREEN Win 7.73 68.9% 7.39 4.61  
72 NOTRE DAME18.28 29.7212.57 SYRACUSE Win 1.23 53.1% 3.75 8.25  
73 DUKE18.15 27.2313.60 VIRGINIA Win 14.53 82.2% 4.93 7.07  
74 TULANE18.03 24.5114.80 MASSACHUSETTS Win 5.64 64.0% 5.52 6.48  
75 BALL STATE17.78 20.8516.25 NORTHERN ILL Win 21.12 91.0% 7.31 4.69  
76 EAST CAROLINA17.66 25.9913.49 UCF Win 5.57 63.8% 5.62 6.38  
77 ARIZONA17.53 25.7113.44 UCLA Loss 13.33 19.8% 4.74 7.26  
78 SO CAROLINA17.42 22.8214.72 TEXAS A&M Loss 14.33 18.1% 5.19 6.81  
79 MARSHALL17.35 29.5911.24 PITTSBURGH Loss 6.87 33.1% 6.19 5.81  
80 TEMPLE17.21 26.8812.38 SMU Win 9.39 72.5% 5.59 6.41  
81 UCF17.17 29.2911.11 EAST CAROLINA Loss 5.57 36.2% 5.30 6.70  
82 SYRACUSE17.06 21.4114.88 NOTRE DAME Loss 1.23 46.9% 4.52 7.48  
83 KENTUCKY16.74 19.3015.46 ALABAMA Loss 28.60 3.4% 4.76 7.24  
84 OHIO U16.35 22.3213.37 MIAMI-OHIO Win 10.45 74.7% 6.67 5.33  
85 WASHINGTON ST16.10 28.489.92 OREGON Loss 2.57 43.5% 3.96 8.04  
86 BOSTON COLLEGE15.37 22.0512.03 BUFFALO Win 15.25 83.4% 4.76 7.24  
87 COLORADO STATE15.16 18.7713.35 WYOMING Win 8.16 69.8% 5.84 6.16  
88 RUTGERS15.14 20.6112.41 OHIO STATE Loss 33.13 1.8% 4.33 7.67  
89 ILLINOIS14.91 22.4211.15 NEBRASKA Loss 21.34 8.7% 3.87 8.13  
90 NORTHWESTERN14.77 25.399.45 IOWA Loss 9.52 27.2% 3.28 8.72  
91 PURDUE14.51 13.4115.06 MARYLAND Loss 16.01 15.4% 4.80 7.20  
92 OREGON STATE14.48 23.799.83 COLORADO Loss 19.59 10.6% 3.73 8.27  
93 LOUISIANA TECH14.29 27.267.81 TEXAS-EL PASO Win 15.18 83.3% 5.91 6.09  
94 UTAH STATE13.65 17.8111.57 BOISE STATE Loss 21.83 8.2% 5.31 6.69  
95 OLD DOMINION13.38 18.4610.84 CHARLOTTE Win 1.33 53.4% 6.43 5.57  
96 CONNECTICUT13.35 14.6512.69 HOUSTON Loss 31.17 2.4% 4.76 7.24  
97 SOUTH ALABAMA12.91 12.8412.95 SAN DIEGO ST Loss 7.76 31.1% 5.82 6.18  
98 SMU12.91 12.6713.03 TEMPLE Loss 9.39 27.5% 3.86 8.14  
99 LOUISIANA12.58 12.2812.72 NEW MEXICO ST Win 3.78 59.5% 5.62 6.38  
100 WYOMING12.08 16.0210.11 COLORADO STATE Loss 8.16 30.2% 5.02 6.98  
101 ULM11.07 17.148.04 AUBURN Loss 18.73 11.7% 5.23 6.77  
102 KANSAS11.05 19.806.68 TEXAS TECH Loss 17.62 13.1% 3.25 8.75  
103 TEXAS STATE10.49 4.1413.67 INCARNATE WORD Win 19.80 89.6% 5.62 6.38  
104 NEVADA10.40 9.6810.76 HAWAII Loss 3.24 41.8% 5.81 6.19  
105 FRESNO STATE10.06 15.357.41 UNLV Loss 3.47 41.3% 4.25 7.75  
106 GEORGIA STATE9.70 16.156.47 APPALACHIAN ST Loss 19.32 11.0% 4.07 7.93  
107 NORTH TEXAS9.13 9.379.01 MIDDLE TENNESSEE Loss 6.13 34.8% 4.76 7.24  
108 VIRGINIA8.70 15.275.41 DUKE Loss 14.53 17.8% 2.13 9.87  
109 HAWAII8.56 13.566.06 NEVADA Win 3.24 58.2% 4.61 8.39  
110 NEW MEXICO8.51 13.246.14 SAN JOSE ST Win 9.19 72.1% 4.54 7.46  
111 UNLV8.44 17.094.12 FRESNO STATE Win 3.47 58.7% 4.13 7.87  
112 TX-SAN ANTONIO7.57 13.744.49         4.01 7.99  
113 IDAHO7.33 0.9510.52 TROY Loss 15.69 15.9% 4.85 7.15  
114 MASSACHUSETTS7.31 10.635.66 TULANE Loss 5.64 36.0% 3.60 8.40  
115 FLA ATLANTIC7.01 9.535.76 FIU Win 1.93 54.9% 4.44 7.56  
116 CHARLOTTE6.96 11.384.76 OLD DOMINION Loss 1.33 46.6% 4.23 7.77  
117 BOWLING GREEN5.59 -4.8210.80 EASTERN MICH Loss 7.73 31.1% 4.14 7.86  
118 BUFFALO5.20 3.945.84 BOSTON COLLEGE Loss 15.25 16.6% 4.16 7.84  
119 IOWA STATE5.06 8.363.40 BAYLOR Loss 21.92 8.2% 2.09 9.91  
120 SAN JOSE ST4.39 3.025.08 NEW MEXICO Loss 9.19 27.9% 3.28 8.72  
121 TEXAS-EL PASO4.19 -2.087.33 LOUISIANA TECH Loss 15.18 16.7% 4.61 7.39  
122 KENT STATE3.72 7.561.80 AKRON Loss 10.01 26.2% 3.50 8.50  
123 NEW MEXICO ST3.72 -0.815.98 LOUISIANA Loss 3.78 40.5% 3.10 8.90  
124 RICE2.62 5.521.17 SOUTHERN MISS Loss 27.69 3.9% 2.85 9.15  
125 NORTHERN ILL1.75 6.52-0.64 BALL STATE Loss 21.12 9.0% 1.81 10.19  
126 ARKANSAS STATE1.35 5.05-0.50         1.97 10.03  
127 MIAMI-OHIO0.82 8.84-3.19 OHIO U Loss 10.45 25.3% 1.88 10.12  
128 FIU0.00 0.000.00 FLA ATLANTIC Loss 1.93 45.1% 1.80 10.20  

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